In order to feel the direction of Trump's compass in the Middle East, it is necessary to get to know Trump's mentality, since he was a man of commercial and real estate deals, before he was the president of the United States of America.

Trump moved the field of international relations from the field of conflicts and alliances, to the field of international deals, and “privatized the foreign policy of the United States,” as soon as he reached the White House on 2 2017.

The privatization of foreign policy and the transfer of the field of international relations to the “Management of International Relations Operations”, may make the possibility of transferring the relationship between America and international parties, whether ally, competition or enemy, from friendship to enmity and vice versa.

Trump, who is the leader of the most powerful country in the world, under which the science of international relations emerged and developed, may have a fundamental impact on the theories of international relations and their implications, even if this is the era of “managing international relations business” a transitional era.

Knowing the cause of this Trumpian shift, and its repercussions on foreign policy and on the deep American state in the State Department, the Pentagon, intelligence and Congress, is essential.

America was known before Trump as “the country that can be one of your most supportive, but it may be one of the most dangerous countries for you, in the event of a shift in trends or a change of administrations.”

How will it be in the era of Trump when he leads the country with the mentality of “project man and single mind” and linking politics to the economy?

The answer to these questions may come from “political science curricula that stress the importance of the head of state’s beliefs in managing the country internally and externally.”

And this may place Trump among the series of founding fathers of the United States, at a time when a rising right-wing wave is sweeping America and the world, heralding the collapse of the post-World War II order.

And this exceptional wave may need an exceptional president like Trump, to face a scene similar to the situation it was in before the outbreak of the First and Second World Wars.

The struggle for the leadership of the international system has reached a dead end, between China and Russia, which continue to rise on the one hand, and the United States, which is in a state of decline, despite its continued presence at the top of the international system.

The conflict between the United States and Iran has also reached a dead end after the United States ignored the expansion of Iran, which also transferred the field of international relations from one field to another.

Iran has transferred the field of international relations from a state-to-state relationship to a state-to-state relationship with non-international religious factors parallel to states, transnational borders and hostile to the international system.

Until Iran threatened to terrorize these factors, America's back garden in South America, as well as Europe, passing through the Near, Middle and Far East.

Trump then transferred the field of international relations from one field to a new field, in harmony with the turmoil and chaos in international relations.

And this American transition, may be a temporary shunt, like the temporary shunt that occurred after the end of World War II.

That is, "there will not be long-term stable international relations, but rather stable short-term relations, according to each project or deal."

That is, Trump's model in "managing the work of international relations" may mean that Trump's directions, tweets and decisions may surprise everyone, allies and enemies, according to the basis of direct short-term interests. And this (supposed temporary diversion) may have repercussions, which could lead to a collision with a wall here or there (for example, a war), within dangerous strategic games with parties that should be aware of the contexts, implications and repercussions of what they are doing (Iran, for example).

Trump said it on the night he visited the Ain al-Assad air base in western Anbar, which may soon be (a pivotal base in the region), “without meeting an Iraqi official, as he said, “How do we spend 7 trillion dollars in a place and then go secretly to it”? The “individualism” and “expecting the unexpected” in Trump’s policy overpowering the “institutions principle” and taking sudden decisions, for example the decision to withdraw from Syria, has upset allies (and opponents), as the Wall Street Journal says.

Who would have expected that Trump would withdraw from the nuclear and climate deal and make a deal with Kim Jong Un and annoy NATO and the rest of its allies and the European Union by paying the price of protection, and withdraw from Syria and visit Iraq secretly? no one!. And who would have expected that the decision to withdraw from the nuclear deal would coincide with the decision to move the embassy to Jerusalem, a decision related to the expected deal of the century, with the decision to withdraw from the nuclear deal? no one!.

Who would have expected, for example, that Obama's withdrawal from Iran in 2011 led to two major deals, one between Obama and China, and another between Iran and Putin in the same year? The answer is no one! So, Trump is waging a war of international deals regarding his conflict with Iran on the one hand, and with Russia and China on the other hand. China and Russia are getting closer to Iran, just as Trump is getting closer to them as well.

Trump has distanced China from his conflict in the Middle East with Russia and Iran, and severed the light relationship between North Korea and Iran, when he concluded his deal, with China's mediation, with Kim Jong Un in the Far East, to devote himself to the Middle East.

The American presence at the gates of China, which Kissinger has led since 1970, has yielded many achievements since then, including Obama and Trump.

Kissinger's station at China's gate resulted in the downfall of the Soviets after withdrawing China from the communist camp, and linking China economically to the international system led by America.

And Obama, who withdrew from the Middle East in front of Iran in 2011, was stationed at the gate of China. His stationing resulted in the Belt and Road initiative announced by the Chinese president in 2013. The Belt and Road Initiative is a Eurasian geo-economic belt linking Asia with Europe and besieging Russia, just as the Trump deal With Kim Jong Un, it may produce an expected outcome with Iran in the Middle East. And this American station at the gate of China, which was the basis for overthrowing the Soviets, returns again to kill two birds with one stone.

If Kissinger had gone in the seventies to link China to the international system in exchange for its abandonment of the communist camp, he would return to linking the door of China in 2011 and 2018, in return for China’s prominent international position in the new international era of Trump. Perhaps this station will contribute to bargaining with Putin over the Russian-Iranian deal concluded by Putin and Khamenei in 2011 as well.

Putin linked Iran to his camp with his deal with Iran, killing more than one bird with one stone.

Putin pushed Iran to export its oil to China and not Europe, hit Europe again with the tsunami of migrants caused by Iran's terrorism in Syria, and halted the chaos of his backyard by supporting Iran in its expansion in the Middle East.

And this Putin-Khamenei deal is a net loss for the United States, as he made Iran a chicken that lays golden eggs for him, and if America wants to pay the heavy price for Putin, Putin is ready, and Putin's encrypted message has reached the White House.

The content of the message is that Khamenei’s head can be sold in the international deals market, if NATO does not expand to the east and the West does not support the color revolutions, and the West does not talk about human rights in Russia, and Russia is granted international status, and this needs a Russian deal - American.

Putin is also looking to free his neck from a double military and economic blockade, with NATO making the military part of it, and the Silk Road making the economic part of it.

But this deal may need China as much as Europe needs, so why does Trump not conclude a major tripartite or four-way deal with China, Russia and Europe, even if it is a (temporary deal) according to the principle of short-term deals.

That this supposed grand deal would Trump strike the nuclear deal with Iran and the deal of Putin and Khamenei, and conclude the deal of the century between the Arabs and Israel, so Khamenei drinks the cup of poison as Reagan did with Khomeini?

But such a grand bargain may need a Middle Eastern war (centered in Syria: Iran), and this may be greater than the war of the US Navy with the Revolutionary Guard Navy in 1987, which resulted in Khomeini drinking the poison cup on 08/08/1988.

If he does not, Trump may escape control in the Middle East, and if he escapes in the Middle East from America’s orbit to the orbit of its opponents, he may escape in the Far and Near East, and America’s leadership of the entire international system will slip away, and this is what it cannot allow to the United States of America.

The Middle East is a region of wealth, revolution and hegemony struggle, not only between Trump and Khamenei, but between Russia and America, as it has been since the Great Game of 1829 between Great Britain and the Russians.

Today, there is a great opportunity to confront Iran after the end of ISIS, and Iran has entered an era of unprecedented sanctions under Pompeo's terms, as it has been between the scenario of change with sanctions and the explosion of the internal situation, or the scenario of rotation by accepting Pompeo's conditions.

The borders and axes between the two war camps in the Middle East have revealed the axis of the international coalition, which has begun its second phase, or almost, and the axis of terrorism of the regime and the crescent of Wilayat al-Faqih.

In this supposed confrontation, which may start in Syria and spread to Iran, Putin has only to feel his feet and calculate the profit and loss in the war of major international deals.

Just as Putin and China may win international prestige, Trump may win twice in this supposed confrontation with Iran.

In addition to stopping the chaos in the international system, and moving to a new international era, Putin's supposed abandonment of Iran may turn Iran after (the strike: the potential deal) from an enemy to a potential American ally, according to the new principle of deals.

Writer Dr. Omar Abdel Sattar Mahmoud