Regional rivalry: conflict or integration?

Four terms were mentioned in the above title, each with a definition, explanation and analysis in the course and destiny of the Middle East intended in the framework of this article.


This article talks about the conflicts and rivalries of the parties in the Middle East, and looks for an opportunity to move the conflict with each other to the stage of competition, and competition with each other to the era of integration.


The major parts of the Middle East are Iran, Wilayat al-Faqih, Turkey, Israel and Saudi Arabia, to which Egypt and its Arabs are included.


With the exception of Iran, Wilayat al-Faqih, the largest sponsor of terrorism in the world and the owner of the last revolutionary regime in it according to the American vision, the role of the other three countries is the focus of this article.


Before talking about the role of Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Israel in the Middle East, it is necessary to take a look at the definition of conflict, competition and integration in international relations.


In short, the conflict is the playing of some parties against each other, and the competition is the play of the parties together, and integration is a positive game played by the parties through a cross-national center.


In detail, the conflict is the highest degrees of war and the least of which is the difference, passing through discord, conflict and violence, and its equation is zero, “zero sum game” with one winner and one loser.


And the conflict finds space for it in the shadow of the chaos of the international system with the dissonance of positions and the conflict of wills and the struggle over values, strength and resources to reach the harm, neutralization and displacement of the opponent.


Among the forms of conflict are tension and crises, and among its means are sieges, threats, alliances and incitement, and among its causes are political, economic, social and strategic.


And what are the most zero-sum mentalities and systems in the Middle East, from the Sunnis who want to eliminate the Shiites and vice versa, and from the Salafists who want to overthrow Sufism and vice versa, and from the Arabs who want to eliminate Israel, Iran and Turkey at once and the opposite is also available .


As for competition, it is playing together, crowding, and racing in one arena to reach the same goal between the competing parties, and competition may develop and lead to integration or retreat and return to conflict, and conflict may develop and lead to competition in a series of opposite directions.


When the conflicting parties are unable to manage the conflict, the conflict turns into competition, and when the competing countries are unable to maintain regional stability, their relations develop into conflict or integration according to the loss or conscience of safety nets.


In contrast to conflict, competition is a natural pattern and a dominant characteristic in international relations in the post-Cold War world, which has moved from the square of ideological struggle to the square of competition in the fight against terrorism and facing economic crises.


It can be said that the US-Russian-Chinese relations are competitive relations that can turn into integration, and the Turkish-Arab-Israeli relations are also competitive and may develop into the stage of integration.


Integration is the transformation of activities in multiple competing states towards a new transnational center, with powers that go beyond the powers of existing states. The most prominent example of integration is the European Union.


This means that integration is a positive game that allows players to make joint decisions and delegate things without coercion, with self-awareness of need, interest, and inability, to institutions that contribute to profit and prevent the use of force to settle disputes.


Integration has elements of identity, economic interaction and sharing of profits and losses, and it has types of economic, social, political and security integration, and success in one of its fields pushes to open integration in another field with a two-way process from top to bottom and vice versa.


A top-down path deals with issues of religion, identity, extremism, conflict management, conflict prevention, peace building and reconciliation, empowering justice, the state's relationship with society, and reviving the social contract.


From bottom to top, it opens the way to unleashing human and economic potentials and establishing social development banks to enable citizens to participate in making the future.


And with the integration of the two tracks, security is integrated with the economy, and stability and development are achieved, so the competing parties leave the era of competition for the era of integration with a non-zero sum game equation.


After this tour in describing the terms and their relationship to each other, we try to apply this description to the role of the competing countries in the Middle East, Israel, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, and we are looking for the possibility of an opportunity for these parties to integrate.


Despite the state of competition between these three countries, they are complementary in several matters, including that they are an ally of the United States, and they are based on the nation-state;


Each side works to maintain regional security, so it fights terrorism represented by the national and religious non-state factors that have prevailed in the region since the emergence of Wilayat al-Faqih, which is hostile to the nation-state and the regional and international order.


Turkey is fighting the Gulan and Ocalan group, which threatens Turkey's national security, and Saudi Arabia is fighting the head of political and jihadist Islam represented by the Brotherhood, Al-Qaeda and ISIS, which threatens Saudi Arabia's national security, and Israel is fighting the head of jihadist and political Islam represented by the Revolutionary Guard, which threatens Israel's national security.


And this as a whole puts these states in one row, in contrast to the revolutionary non-state factors that Wilayat al-Faqih employs in its war against the nation-state and the international system.


Despite the alliance of these three countries with the United States and their playing this regional role, the lack of alliance and war of these countries with each other has enabled the non-state factors to shake the stability of the Middle East, Europe and the international system.


This means that these countries have been unable, in competition with each other, to maintain the performance of their duty entrusted to them as medium-power countries in maintaining regional security, and that there is an urgent regional need and interest in moving from the era of competition to the era of integration.


Integration also requires that the Kurdish, Arab (Shiite and Sunni) and Iranian groups realize their role in reducing the cost of moving from the era of competition to the era of integration.


The role of the Kurdish groups is to weave away from the PKK and close to the Turkish-American compass, and the Sunni Arab ones away from Al-Qaeda, the Brotherhood and ISIS and close to the American-Saudi compass, and the Iranian one, away from the Revolutionary Guards and close to the American-Israeli compass.


If it does, a state of integration may arise between these groups, each in its own position, and between the allies of the United States and its sponsorship, whether it is Turkey for the Kurds, or Saudi Arabia for the Arabs, or Israel for the Iranians.


Whoever rejects this role from these groups, in the era of the possible transition from competition to integration, in the face of the guardianship of the jurist and the treatment of non-state, may not find a place for himself under the sun in the next stage, if not among the target group.


Explaining the necessity of the groups’ integration with the American compass and its allies in the region, the reason is that America does not guarantee these groups the luxury of neutrality in the United States’ confrontation with its opponents in the region;


The opponents of the United States are also unable to defend these groups against the United States, which considers this region one of the most important and most dangerous geopolitical areas in the world.



Writer Dr. Omar Abdel Sattar Mahmoud




الكاتب د.عمر عبدالستار محمود